The analysis that I produced yesterday on the potential impact of UKIP/ The Brexit Party running against each other has resulted in a great deal of discussion. The overwhelming number of comments and responses is that they want Mr Batten & Mr Farage, two Brexit warriors, to put their differences aside and work together.
Now I am a realist and I understand there is a great deal of bad blood and other issues but what I am going to do now is come up with a compromise that can work for everyone, a Blairite third way if you pardon the expression!
Again now is not the time for niceties and lets be brutally honest about things. The Brexit Party appears to be an extremely 'Tory' type organisation, those involved in it and around it certainly fit the bill. Now I am not saying this in a negative way it is just a fact. UKIP on the other hand is now a far more rough and ready party that can appeal to a certain demographic The Brexit Party can't.
So at the last EU elections UKIP won 24 seats on a 27% national vote share. Currently neither the Brexit Party or UKIP is polling anywhere near that and the Labour Party look set to win comfortably. Of course all of this might change and either of the two could see the Brexit vote demographic rally round them. As I showed yesterday studies have indicated that as a result of what is going on leave voters are in fact far more disengaged and less likely to vote than remainers.
The compromise would be that there is a split of constituencies where both parties agree not to field candidates against one another based on previous seat numbers. If done correctly this could see an increase in MEP's for The Brexit bloc. These would also be split along a basis where each party is likely to do better. This would also allow the better targeting of resources and candidates to specific areas.
The equitable split would be as follows:
East Midlands- UKIP to stand only, 2 seats plus possible
East of England- The Brexit Party to stand only, 3 seats plus possible
London- The Brexit Party to stand only, 1 seat plus possible
NE England- UKIP to stand only, 1 seat plus possible
NW England- UKIP to stand only, 3 seats plus possible
SE England- The Brexit Party to stand only, 4 seats plus possible
SW England- The Brexit Party to stand only, 2 seats plus possible
West Midlands- UKIP to stand only, 3 seats plus possible
Yorkshire & Humber- UKIP to stand only, 3 seats plus possible
Scotland- The Brexit Party to stand only, 1 seat plus possible
Wales- The Brexit Party to stand only, 1 seat plus possible
Northern Ireland- No candidates
This equates to 12 seats per party and a free run to win even more seats in areas best suited to the respective parties! You could also win the same amount of seats on a smaller share of the vote, what is not to like!
The above is an ideal scenario and I am even going to offer another way and this is UKIP & The Brexit Party don't stand against each other in the areas where UKIP only won 1 seat in the past election of which there are 4 regions. If they both stand against each other in these areas then in my opinion it is electoral suicide and stupidity and could result in neither party winning a seat.
So this is a plea not only from myself and UK Unity but the loyal brexit voters to put aside egos and past conflicts and look to the future, this is a workable solution that can help ensure all parties are represented without the risk of destroying on another. If the parties don't even decide not to stand in the 4 regions where UKIP only won 1 seat then I am sorry but this is sheer stupidity and neither party deserves a seat in these areas.
Let's be pragmatic and make this happen, put the people first!